The Last Two Sessions of October New-trigger client note · October 28, 2026 Today’s close sits right before the final two sessions of October, a long-tracked seasonal entry labeled a one-to-three-day buy. Since 1990 the S&P 500 was higher a week later 69% of the time vs 58% normally, averaging +1.29% vs +0.19% (p=0.006), and
Research Log: Stocks Have Rallied Into Election Day 15 Times in 18, but They Rally Just as Often in the Same Week of Years With No Election Yang Market Research · Original Idea · Research Log · October 28, 2026 Today is a Fed decision day and the close four sessions before the November 3
Two Straight Downside Gaps in the S&P 500 ETF New-trigger client note · October 23, 2026 For the second session in a row, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) never traded as high as the prior day’s close: Thursday’s high of 767.71 sat below Wednesday’s 773.09 close, and today’s high of 763.47 sat below Thursday’s 763.96
Quiet Selloff: New Signal, October 23, 2026 SIGNAL CATALOGUE · NYSE TICK BREADTH · October 23, 2026 The S&P 500 fell -0.53% today, but NYSE breadth never panicked. The lowest TICK reading after 9:45 was -783, milder than 57% of the past year’s sessions (median -837). Since 2015, quiet selloffs like this have been followed
Breadth Outruns Price: New Signal, October 22, 2026 SIGNAL CATALOGUE · NYSE TICK BREADTH · October 22, 2026 Today’s NYSE breadth came in far stronger than the S&P 500’s move would imply: a reading of +1.49, above the +1.3 trigger. Cumulative TICK was +26,573 while the index moved -0.33% from its open. Since 2015, signals
Quiet Selloff: New Signal, October 22, 2026 SIGNAL CATALOGUE · NYSE TICK BREADTH · October 22, 2026 The S&P 500 fell -1.21% today, but NYSE breadth never panicked. The lowest TICK reading after 9:45 was -742, milder than 64% of the past year’s sessions (median -837). Since 2015, quiet selloffs like this have been followed
A Strong 2:00 PM Push Tends to Keep Going for Another Hour INTRADAY STUDY · October 20, 2026 · SPX 1-minute data, Sep 2014 – Oct 2026 When the S&P 500 rallies unusually hard between 2:00 and 2:15 PM ET, it has tended to keep rising over the next hour. Over 272 signals since late
When the Post-Expiration Gap Fails: A Short Below Friday's Close NASDAQ-100 RESEARCH · QQQ OPTIONS-EXPIRATION STUDY · October 19, 2026 Friday was monthly options expiration, and QQQ is set to open at least 1% higher this morning. Since 1999 QQQ has opened 1% or more higher on the session after monthly expiration 29 times. In