More on Today’s NYSE TICK
By
Rennie on Thursday, June 3rd, 2010 at 3:38 pm
Another noteworthy point about today’s action is that the NYSE TICK dropped to an intraday low of -1499, its lowest low in five sessions. When the S&P closes higher on a day when the TICK records a 5-day low, there’s a tendency for the market to trade lower the following session. The last 30 occurrences are below…
NYSE TICK Hits 5-day Low, S&P Closes Higher
06/03/10… S&P500 ??? next session
05/17/10… S&P500 -1.4% next session
04/19/10… S&P500 +0.8% next session
03/17/10… S&P500 -0.0% next session
03/03/10… S&P500 +0.4% next session
12/30/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
12/16/09… S&P500 -1.2% next session
12/04/09… S&P500 -0.3% next session
11/11/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
07/21/09… S&P500 -0.1% next session
04/08/09… S&P500 +3.8% next session
03/25/09… S&P500 +2.3% next session
02/12/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
01/26/09… S&P500 +1.1% next session
11/13/08… S&P500 -4.2% next session
11/07/08… S&P500 -1.3% next session
10/23/08… S&P500 -3.5% next session
10/16/08… S&P500 -0.6% next session
08/20/08… S&P500 +0.3% next session
07/23/08… S&P500 -2.3% next session
06/25/08… S&P500 -2.9% next session
05/19/08… S&P500 -0.9% next session
05/14/08… S&P500 +1.1% next session
03/03/08… S&P500 -0.3% next session
02/12/08… S&P500 +1.4% next session
12/18/07… S&P500 -0.1% next session
12/12/07… S&P500 +0.1% next session
11/20/07… S&P500 -1.6% next session
11/02/07… S&P500 -0.5% next session
10/17/07… S&P500 -0.1% next session
08/16/07… S&P500 +2.5% next session
In 20 out of 30 occurrences, or 67% of the time the S&P500 closed lower the following session, significantly above the 46% random odds for a lower S&P one day later in the same time frame. While the TICK pattern noted earlier has bullish implications looking out to Monday-Tuesday of next week, this suggests we may see a pullback on Friday.
More on Today’s NYSE TICK
By Rennie on Thursday, June 3rd, 2010 at 3:38 pmAnother noteworthy point about today’s action is that the NYSE TICK dropped to an intraday low of -1499, its lowest low in five sessions. When the S&P closes higher on a day when the TICK records a 5-day low, there’s a tendency for the market to trade lower the following session. The last 30 occurrences are below…
NYSE TICK Hits 5-day Low, S&P Closes Higher
06/03/10… S&P500 ??? next session
05/17/10… S&P500 -1.4% next session
04/19/10… S&P500 +0.8% next session
03/17/10… S&P500 -0.0% next session
03/03/10… S&P500 +0.4% next session
12/30/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
12/16/09… S&P500 -1.2% next session
12/04/09… S&P500 -0.3% next session
11/11/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
07/21/09… S&P500 -0.1% next session
04/08/09… S&P500 +3.8% next session
03/25/09… S&P500 +2.3% next session
02/12/09… S&P500 -1.0% next session
01/26/09… S&P500 +1.1% next session
11/13/08… S&P500 -4.2% next session
11/07/08… S&P500 -1.3% next session
10/23/08… S&P500 -3.5% next session
10/16/08… S&P500 -0.6% next session
08/20/08… S&P500 +0.3% next session
07/23/08… S&P500 -2.3% next session
06/25/08… S&P500 -2.9% next session
05/19/08… S&P500 -0.9% next session
05/14/08… S&P500 +1.1% next session
03/03/08… S&P500 -0.3% next session
02/12/08… S&P500 +1.4% next session
12/18/07… S&P500 -0.1% next session
12/12/07… S&P500 +0.1% next session
11/20/07… S&P500 -1.6% next session
11/02/07… S&P500 -0.5% next session
10/17/07… S&P500 -0.1% next session
08/16/07… S&P500 +2.5% next session
In 20 out of 30 occurrences, or 67% of the time the S&P500 closed lower the following session, significantly above the 46% random odds for a lower S&P one day later in the same time frame. While the TICK pattern noted earlier has bullish implications looking out to Monday-Tuesday of next week, this suggests we may see a pullback on Friday.